Tuesday, August 20, 2013

College Football Preview: Texas A&M

Texas A&M

2012 Record: 11-2 (6-2)                                                  def Oklahoma in Cotton Bowl:  41-13

2012 Recap:

You would have to forgive Aggie Nation for believing things could have been different last season if not for a hurricane.  A&M was supposed to open their first season as a member of the SEC against Louisiana Tech on August 30, but hurricane Isaac caused the game to be delayed until October 13th, a scheduled bye week. 

The postponement meant that A&M opened their season at home against Florida in their first SEC game.  A&M played well, but came up short against the Gators losing 20-17.  When the Louisiana Tech game was rescheduled, A&M had to hold on to win the game in a shoot out 59-57.  Instead of having their scheduled bye week before the LSU game, the Aggies played host to the Tigers with no extra rest and again came up just short, 24-19. 

We all know that A&M went on to beat Alabama in Tuscaloosa later in the season on their way to a huge victory over former Big 12 foe, Oklahoma.  Not a bad first season in the nation’s premiere conference. 
Without the postponement in week 1, you never know what could have been for the 2012 Aggies.

The Schedule:

A&M drew a pretty favorable conference schedule in 2013.  The Aggies will play Vanderbilt out of the SEC East as well as their “natural rival” Missouri.  After winning in Tuscaloosa last season, the Aggies host the Tide in one of the most anticipated games of the season in early September. Their toughest road games come against Ole Miss and LSU.  Their non-conference schedule features almost every college football team from the state of Texas, other than the University of Texas.  The Aggies will host Rice, Sam Houston State, SMU, and UTEP giving them 8 home games in 2013.  (Insert joke about SEC scheduling here)

Key Returner:

Johnny Manziel: This is what happens when you write a preview too early. I had a nice breakdown of Manziel from last year and what we might see in 2013, but that was before Johnny complained about signing autographs in ESPN the Magazine only to find out that he might have accepted money for signing autographs.  Manziel will be the biggest returner for any team in the country, if he returns.  The cloud of an NCAA investigation is hanging over A&M, and there is no timetable for a decision from the NCAA. Some believe that Manziel will be benched by A&M until he is cleared by the NCAA for fear of having to vacate wins if he plays.

On the field, if he makes it back to the field, Manziel will have the daunting task of repeating what can only be described as the greatest freshman season in college football since Herschel Walker in 1980.  Manziel broke record after record in 2012.  In 2013, Manziel might have to be better, but not put up the same type of numbers he did last year for the Aggies to meet expectations.  A&M will be a Top 10 team in the preseason and many Aggie fans believe that the A&M game against Alabama in early September is a defacto national title game. 

It seems impossible to think that Manziel can top his 2012 season, but if he can manage to lead A&M to the SEC title game, then he might have a chance.  The biggest thing standing in the way, or not standing in the way, as it were is ….

Key Loss:

Luke Joeckel: The Aggies will have to figure out how to protect their prized possession without the help of Joeckel who was the number two pick in the NFL Draft.  Joeckel won the Outland trophy in 2012 as the nation’s top lineman.  Obviously, the Aggies will put someone at left tackle this fall, but with Manziel wanting to be more of a pocket passer, it might be hard for him to stay in the pocket with a new anchor on the offensive line.  The Aggies will have two weeks to figure out how to protect Manziel before Nick Saban brings his Alabama defense to Kyle Field on September 14th

Success will be:

Winning the SEC and playing for a national title.  Fair or not, this is what is expected of the Aggies in 2013.  It only took one year for Aggie Nation to adopt the ridiculously high standards of the SEC.  With the bar set so high, success is almost unattainable. 

2013 Prediction:

How can you predict the 2013 season for A&M without knowing if Manziel is going to be on the field? Well there are two things that can happen, so we will predict both!

If Manziel plays: A&M will have a great season, but they won’t beat Alabama and they won’t play for the SEC title, and they won’t win the National Title, so A&M fans will feel like they just went 2-10. As good as Johnny is, football is the ultimate team sport, and as a team, A&M doesn't have the talent to compete in the SEC yet. No one is unstoppable. Teams will slow Manziel down, and when they do, what will A&M be able to do? I don’t know the answer to that question, and I’m not sure Kevin Sumlin does either. Nothing wrong about going 10-2 in the SEC, but calling A&M a title contender is just too premature.

If Manziel doesn’t play: A&M will have a lost season. Making a bowl game will be difficult without Manziel because so much of what they do is centered on him. Not to mention the mental toll it would take on the team to lose their Heisman Trophy winning quarterback just before the season begins.


So if you are an A&M fan, you are going to be disappointed either way. It remains to be seen how disappointed you will be.

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