Sunday, September 25, 2016

Weekly Review: September 24th

Biggest Story of the Week: Everyone is Flawed
The talking heads on TV won’t tell you the truth, but I will. As great as this season has been so far, and it has been really entertaining, you can’t confuse great games and great teams. At this point in the season, there are no great teams in college football.
Start at the top with Alabama. They have a true freshman quarterback and suddenly, a lack of competent running backs. There is no way they go undefeated.
Louisville has a great player and a scum bag coach. No one should be crowning them after one win at home against a Florida State team that we don’t know much about.
The reality of this season is that by the end of the year, there may be a couple of great teams, but at this point, there are legitimate questions about every team in college football. No one has proven that they are good enough to play four quarters of great football week after week.
If I had to pick who I thought would be the best team by the end of the season I would go with Clemson. They have the best quarterback in the country to go along with a balanced team with weapons on offense, play makers on defense, and a manageable schedule with some big tests, but not the gauntlet that other teams have to navigate.
Even though I don’t believe anyone is great at this point, I think this season has been, and will continue to be, great. If you look ahead to the next three or four weeks, there are multiple games that you would say are “Must-See” and there are going to be more upsets due to the parity in college football.

Biggest Win of the Week: Tennessee
It had been 11 years since Tennessee beat Florida, and no one would have thought the streak was about to end as the two teams headed to the locker room at half time. Tennessee wasn’t just trailing 21-3, they looked inept on offense and they looked vulnerable on defense. I have never been a fan of Josh Dobbs, and he made me look like a genius in the first half.
Then something changed.
If you were watching the CBS broadcast, you know that Gary Danielson, who is of course the smartest person in the world (just ask him, and he will tell  you), believes that there was a pass in the third quarter where the Tennessee receiver made a great catch that turned the game around. I don’t think that turned the game around for two reasons. One, the reason it had to be a great catch was because Dobbs nearly hit the defender in the back with the pass. It was an awful pass. The second reason is because two plays after the “game-changing” play, Dobbs through a terrible interception.
As much as it might bother someone as smart as Danielson, all that changed was momentum. Dobbs hit two long passes on busted coverages, and Florida got tight. The Tennessee crowd got into the game, and the Tennessee defense dared Austin Appleby to beat them. They pinned their ears back and brought pressure for the entire second half, and Florida wasn’t able to respond.
Not to sound like a broken record, but both of these teams have serious flaws and flawed teams aren’t going to be consistent. From week to week and sometimes quarter to quarter, you aren’t going to get the same team.
Now, Tennessee is in the driver’s seat in the East. However, they travel to Georgia this week, and follow that up with games against the best two teams in the SEC, Texas A&M and Alabama. If Tennessee loses to Georgia they will lose three straight and probably drop another game this season, finishing 8-4 and probably causing Butch Jones his job. If Tennessee can win in Athens, then they probably will go 10-2 and win the East.
Either way, ending the streak of 11 straight loses to Florida was a big monkey off the back of the program.
The biggest flaw Tennessee has, and they have a few, is their head coach. He is a cliché machine, but I don’t believe he really knows what he is doing. He continues to talk about building their program. This is Butch Jones 4th season in Knoxville! How long does he expect to get to build something? It’s smoke and mirrors. The team might win this year in spite of Jones, but he is big on talk and short on substance and Tennessee will not compete for titles on a consistent basis as long as he is the head coach.

Biggest Loss of the Week: Notre Dame
There were some serious candidates for worst loss this week. You could look to Michigan State who got blown out at home against Wisconsin. You could pick Georgia, who looked totally outmatched by Ole Miss. My runner up was LSU, who couldn’t get the offense going, yet again, and somehow managed to not be prepared to run a last-second play when the officials had spent four minutes discussing a penalty. They were the runner up because Les Miles is running out of time very quickly.
All Hail to the Victors of the dubious “honor” of worst loss of the week, and that goes to the storied golden-domers at Notre Dame. Notre Dame is quite possible the greatest college football program of all time, but for the past 10 years, they have struggled to be relevant. Somehow, they maintain their status as an Independent with their own network tv deal with NBC, but on the field they have underwhelmed for the better part of a decade.
I’m not going to pretend like the loss to Duke at home was the worst loss in the team’s history, but as a three touchdown favorite at home, the loss tied for the biggest upset of an Irish team of all time.
There have been rumors that there are issues between head coach Brian Kelly and defensive coordinator Brian VanGorder. After the game, Kelly called out his players by saying it didn’t matter what they had done in the past, if you want to play for him, you better bring some fire and passion.
To me, Kelly sounded like a burnt-out teacher at the end of their rope, trying one last time to crack down on the class before they lose all control of the situation. Kelly may keep his job because I don’t know where Notre Dame would go for a head coach, but Irish Eyes aren’t smiling this season, and I don’t see this program turning things around any time soon.

The College Football Playoff if the season ended Today:
1.      Alabama
2.      Louisville
3.      Ohio State
4.      Clemson
5.      Michigan
6.      Texas A&M
7.      Wisconsin
8.      Stanford

Three Things to Watch for Next Week:
1.      Clemson/Louisville: Lamar Jackson is the star of the young season. Deshawn Watson was the returning favorite for the Heisman trophy. Clemson hasn’t managed to impress so far this season. Louisville has put themselves in the talk for a spot in the playoff with their total destruction of Florida State. Prime time in Death Valley. Next Saturday night is going to be amazing.

2.     Wisconsin/Michigan: Michigan comes into this game ranked in the Top 5, and I have no clue as to why. Jim Harbaugh has turned the perception of Michigan around with his off-field antics, but he has yet to make a statement on the field. Wisconsin has already beaten Michigan State and LSU in the young season, so they are battle-tested. Time for King of Khakis to put up, or for the love of all things holy, just shut up. I’m pulling hard for Wisconsin.

Stanford/Washington: The Pac 12 got left out of the playoff last season, in part because of attrition in the league. If I was a Pac 12 guy, I would be hoping for a Stanford win, because I think they have a better chance to make the playoff than Washington. Chris Peterson’s Huskies have quietly become a legit contender, but can they stop Christian McCaffery? This game is on Friday night, so get the weekend started with what should be a great game.

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