Thursday, September 5, 2013

Georgia/South Carolina Preview

This is the beauty of college football. Here we are, week two of the season, and we have a do or die game. Unfortunately, it is do or die for the Dawgs.

This season was much anticipated and full of expectations. After a close loss last week to Clemson in Death Valley, Georgia faces a must win game against South Carolina.

But here is the truth of this game. Whether Georgia won last week or not, this was the game Georgia would have to win. Beating Clemson and losing to South Carolina would be the same as losing both games as it pertains to Georgia’s SEC title hopes.

Georgia was going to have a must win game against South Carolina no matter what happened in Clemson. The only reason it seems so bad right now, is that Georgia fans haven’t seen Georgia win this year, only lose.

This game isn’t going to be about statistics, it’s going to be about players. Both teams have good players on each side of the ball, but both teams have one player that stand out from the rest, and they will be on the field at the same time.

Jadaveon Clowney is going to be the number one pick in next April’s draft, and he would have been the number one pick in last April’s draft, had he been allowed to go to the NFL early. He is the first player I can remember who was truly ready to play in the NFL as a sophomore. Clowney effects every aspect of the defense, from the play of the other defensive linemen, to the style of coverage the cornerbacks play.

Because Clowney is so proficient at getting to the quarterback, cornerbacks will play up on receivers almost all of the time, because they don’t expect the quarterback to want to hold the ball long enough for a deep route with Clowney baring down on them. This tight coverage also leads to interceptions, because cornerbacks are in position to jump short passing routes when the quarterback is throwing to his “hot” receiver.

Aaron Murray threw a bad pick last week against Clemson. He will have to make sure that he accounts for defensive linemen dropping into coverage this week, or he will make the same mistake again.
After South Carolina’s game against North Carolina last Thursday night, many pundits criticized Clowney for what they perceived to be a lack of hustle and Clowney being out of shape. First of all, Clowney is not out of shape. I am out of shape. If Clowney is not in optimal football condition for an elite athlete, we should probably figure out another way of saying that, rather than lumping him in with me and the other couch-sitters out there. Secondly, Clowney has absolutely nothing to prove on the collegiate level. He was never a true Heisman candidate, because that award is an offensive award in the minds of most of the voters. He is the best defensive player in the country. Clowney will have a good game this weekend, but even if he doesn’t, it doesn’t diminish the player that he is.

Georgia also has a special player.

Todd Gurley is the best running back that Georgia has seen since Herschel Walker. He is better than Moreno. He is better than Garrison Hurst, Musa Smith, and much, much better than Caleb King or Washaun Ealey. Remember those guys?

Gurley’s run in the first quarter of last week’s game showed just how special he is. There was nothing tricky about the play. The fullback made a fantastic block, Gurley ran with reckless abandon the moment he go the ball in his hands. He hit the hole, made one cut, and it was off to the races. Watch the highlight again. The safety for Clemson has an angle on Gurley, but he underestimated Gurley’s speed. A man of Gurley’s size isn’t supposed to run that fast.

Todd Gurley is not only the key to this game for Georgia, but he will be the key to every Georgia game until the end of the 2014 season when he will declare early for the NFL draft.
It is going to be hard for the offensive coaches to be patient enough to continue to hand the ball to Gurley when they have so many dynamic players on offense and a quarterback who is capable of getting them the ball, but the truth is that the best option, on almost every play, is to give Gurley the ball.

For South Carolina to win, they are going to have to be able to run the ball. Every team Georgia has played over the last year plus has run the ball well against them, so I don’t think that will be a problem. South Carolina is also going to have to make some big plays in the passing game. Connor Shaw might not be able to do that, but Spurrier won’t hesitate to bring in Dylan Thompson to throw the ball down field. Shaw is going to make some runs when the play breaks down, so the Dawgs will have to make sure that when Shaw runs, they make him pay for leaving the pocket. Georgia missed some big tackles last week. South Carolina is too good to give extra yards to. The Dawgs have to make plays on defense when they have the chance.

For Georgia to win, Todd Gurley is going to have to be the focal point of the offense. The offensive line has to be much better in pass blocking situations. There can’t be any more holding penalties on David Andrews. Georgia has to play at least a little bit of run defense, so they can try to force Shaw into some passing mistakes. Aaron Murray has to play like a senior, not a sophomore. No more delay of game penalties. No more passing before you look to see where you are passing the ball. I don’t care how hard you get hit, no more fumbles. Georgia’s defense isn’t good enough to make up for turnovers.

In 2011, South Carolina won this game 45-42. They had a defensive touchdown on a Murray fumble, and they had a fake punt for a touchdown by a defensive lineman.

As bad as Georgia fans feel about last week’s loss and the season going forward, it will only take one win to change the mood of the Bulldog Nation. Georgia only needs one win to get back on track for Atlanta and Pasadena, but it has to be this win.

There will be no silver lining for Georgia if they don’t win this game. There will be no more talk of an SEC title. There is a long season still ahead of us, but if Georgia losses on Saturday, it will seem like the longest season we have had to endure in quite a long time.

The players know the stakes. The coaches know the stakes. The fans know the stakes.

The winner of this game will play in Atlanta for the SEC title.

Georgia 31      South Carolina 27


Go Dawgs!

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