Thursday, October 4, 2012

Georgia/South Carolina Preview


At the beginning of the season, you looked at October 6th and thought that it could be a big game.  Well October 6th is rapidly approaching, and it is a very big game for the Georgia Bulldogs.  There aren't enough adjectives in the English language to properly put this game in perspective.  Let’s just say this, football games in the SEC are big occasions in their own right, but this game is as big as Georgia has played in the last 10 years.
  
Not since Georgia traveled to Jacksonville as an undefeated team in 2002 have the Bulldogs been poised for a legitimate run at the National Championship.  We all remember what happened that night, well I remember and Terrence Edwards and his butterfingers remember as well.  Georgia lost to Florida, and that was the only blemish on an otherwise spectacular season that saw Georgia win the SEC and the Sugar Bowl on the way to finishing their season with a 13-1 record. 

The only other game that could be considered this big would have been the Alabama game in 2008, but I can’t talk about that game at all, so we are going to move on. 

The importance of the game can’t be overstated for Georgia.  Having already played Tennessee, a win on Saturday would mean that Georgia would have to lose two of their final four SEC games for South Carolina to win the division.  Georgia will beat the pants off of Kentucky and Ole Miss.  Auburn is down, so even though it is a rivalry game, it’s hard to see Georgia losing that one.  That leaves only Florida on the 27th of the month as a swing game.  Florida and South Carolina have to play each other later in the season, so one of them will have 1 loss already.  Both South Carolina and Florida have to play LSU.  Barring an upset, both teams would lose those games.  Still with me?  If you think Florida is good, but not great, as I do, then there is no way they are winning two games out of three against Georgia, South Carolina, and LSU, which means simply this: 

A win on Saturday means that Georgia will be playing for the SEC title in the Georgia Dome on     December 1st

Now, quickly, what does a loss mean?  A loss means you better hope that LSU beats South Carolina and then you better hope that either Florida, Tennessee, or Arkansas beats South Carolina too.  Hmm.  A loss means simply this: No SEC title game.

Now that we know what the stakes are, let’s get down to business on the game itself.

South Carolina is a 3 point favorite given that they are playing at home, but that is standard, which means the guys in Vegas think this is an even match up.

Games like this could come down to a single play, a single call, or a single mistake by the coaching staff.  Everyone associated with the game for Georgia has to bring their best on Saturday night. 

No wasting timeouts because players didn't know what personnel was supposed to be on the field.  No stupid penalties.  No TUNOVERS!!!!!!!!

Defensively, Georgia is underrated this week.  For the first time all season, Georgia had their intended starting lineup on the field against Tennessee, and the results weren't great.  But that is good news for Georgia fans, because Coach Grantham has been telling his players all week (I’m sure in a calm and respectful voice) that they have to be better.  This is the kind of game made for big players like Jarvis Jones, and I would be shocked if he doesn't play well.  Rambo and Ogletree will be wanting to make some noise after missing time.  The key to this game the past two years has been Marcus Lattimore.  In 2010, Lattimore seem to pick up every third down South Carolina faced by a foot.  In 2011, with the game on the line, Lattimore ran the ball very well in the fourth quarter to help keep the Georgia offense on the sideline.  I would expect that the game plan will be to stop Lattimore, and dare Conner Shaw to beat you, and if they can manage to slow Lattimore down, I don’t think Shaw will be able to win the game for South Carolina.
Offensively, Georgia has too many weapons to not score points.  South Carolina’s defense is amazing, especially up front, but Georgia’s offensive line has played well all season, and Murray has done a great job of getting Georgia into the right plays.  As crazy as it sounds, the key to Georgia’s offense are the strongest parts of the offense to this point in the season. 

The two freshman running backs have been amazing.  Todd Gurley and Keith Marshall have been more productive so far this season than Herschel Walker was in his freshman season.  Obviously there are two of them, but production is the key, and Georgia has gotten amazing results out of their running game.  Can these two avoid making freshman mistakes in a crazy environment like Columbia?  Will they pick up their blocking assignments, and will they hear the audibles?  Will they turn the ball over?  They are amazingly talented, but can they be poised in the face of great adversity?  We will find out.

The other question facing the Georgia offense is Aaron Murray.  Once Murray’s four years are up in Athens, he will, statistically speaking, be the greatest quarterback in the school’s history.  He will hold every major passing record, and he might break the record for wins in a career by a quarterback.  He is already been to 1 SEC title game, and there is no reason he couldn't play in a couple of more.  So why is he a question mark?  Because 32 games into his college career, Murray has yet to win a big game.  Murray hasn't won a bowl game, lost the SEC title game last season, and has lost road games at Mississippi State and Colorado.  His biggest win to date, would be a tie between the Florida and Tennessee games last year.  Those teams were not good last year.  Can Murray avoid making big mistakes at the worst possible times?  The fumble against South Carolina last year, killer.  The turnovers against LSU and Michigan State in the second half last year, killer.  Can Aaron Murray win when the eyes of the college football world are squarely on him and his team?  Again, we will find out.

Special teams cost Georgia the game against South Carolina last season.  South Carolina faked a punt, and scored a touchdown.  Georgia was offsides on a converted onside kick in the second half.  Those two plays were the turning point.  That should make Georgia fans very nervous.  Special teams were a disaster last week against Tennessee.  Georgia has already announced that there will be a new punt returner, but as a unit, things have to get better now for Georgia. 

In 2005, Georgia beat South Carolina because of a missed extra point.  After Georgia scores touchdowns on Saturday, don’t look away.  Marshall Morgan has to hit his extra points!  It could change the game and the season.  I can’t remember a kicker that I felt better about when he was kicking a 50 yard field goal rather than an extra point.  Maybe Georgia should start taking penalties on extra points to move him back to a place where he is comfortable?

South Carolina has beaten Georgia each of the last two seasons.  Never, in the history of this series, has South Carolina beaten Georgia three years in a row, and it won’t happen this year.

Georgia will win this game because their defense is plenty good enough to limit, not stop, Marcus Lattimore, while Georgia’s offense is elite.  Elite.  There are more playmakers on this Georgia team than we have had since the 2008 team with Stafford, Moreno, and AJ Greene. 

Georgia 27   South Carolina 17

GO DAWGS!!!!!!

No comments:

Post a Comment