Thursday, April 4, 2013

So Far, So So Good

The baseball season is long, but after two games of the Braves season, I think we can safely say that this is exactly what Frank Wren had in mind when he put this team together.

Through two games the Braves have beaten the Phillies twice.  The Braves have hit 6 home runs, scored 16 runs, and have struck out a whopping 24 times.  That means strike outs account for half of all the Braves outs recorded in the first two games.  So all of the pundit were right, the Braves are going to strike out a lot, but right now, it looks like they are going to win a lot as well.

The Braves have had all of this offensive success against Cole Hamels, who the Phillies just signed to be their ace for years to come, and Roy Halladay who was the Phillies ace in years gone by.

Obviously Halladay isn't the same pitcher that he was a few years ago, but that just makes my point even more.  The thought going into the season was that the Nationals were the clear favorite to win the division, while the Braves and Phillies would battle for second.  I'm not ringing the bell on the Phillies, but I think its obvious that Halladay is going to be a major concern for them going forward, and their offense doesn't seem to have the top to bottom danger that they have had in the past.

One thing the Phillies do have is money.  If they are in the race at the All Star Break, they will make a move to improve their team, the Braves don't always have that flexibility.

Maholm was good last night, and Hudson was good on Monday even though he had to be pulled in the 5th.  This pitching staff will be plenty good enough with the offense scoring runs.  Freddie Freeman has started out blazing hot.  The only two concerns through the first two games has been BJ Upton and Anderlton Simmons.  But that is the luxury this team has over past Braves teams.  Its not taking 3 or 4 hits in a row to score a run, so if a guy or two is struggling, it doesn't completely cripple your offense.

As the season progresses, I think the fact that the Braves have such a good offense will actually help guys struggle a lot less at the plate.  No one player is ever going to be put in a position that he has to produce for the Braves to win, thus, guys can go up to the plate and just do what they know they can do, without the added pressure of having to do it all by themselves.

Last night on the broadcast, Joe and Chip were saying that Brian McCann is hitting the ball to all fields and plans are for him to return in about two weeks.  Not that Laird and Gattis are filling in nicely so far, but can you imagine putting Brian McCann in this lineup if he at 100%? The groan you just heard was the sound of starting pitchers all across the National League.  My only question is who is going to hit 8th?

Its early, very early, but this team is exactly what I hoped it would be.  And they are fun to watch.

I hope this rain gets out of here before first pitch tonight, because, oh yeah, the Braves best starting pitcher, Kris Medlen, takes the hill for the first time this season tonight as the Braves go for a sweep of the Phillies against the third "ace" of the Phillies staff, Cliff Lee.

Get out your rain jackets and your brooms!

GO BRAVES!!!


Sunday, March 31, 2013

2013 MLB Season Preview

The MLB season officially starts tonight in Houston, but for most teams, tomorrow is Opening Day.

This baseball season begins with some big changes. 

The Houston Astros are in the American League now.  Inter-league play will be apart of the schedule each and every day of the season.  The Washington Nationals are the trendy pick to win the World Series.  The New York Yankees are a trendy pick to finish last in the AL East. 

Trying to predict the baseball season is almost impossible.  The season is incredibly long.  In September, when you look back at April, it will seem like it was a different world.  Teams can go from being the best team in baseball during the early months of the season, to being out of the playoff picture before August.  Injuries, trades, and young player that have yet to make a name for themselves in the major leagues will all factor in to who makes the playoffs and who wins the World Series, but most of that is hard to see at this point.

Despite all of that, here are my predictions for how the teams will finish in each division:

AL East:
Tampa
Toronto
Boston
Baltimore
New York

AL Central:
Detroit
Chicago
Cleveland
Minnesota
Kansas City

AL West:
Anaheim
Texas
Oakland
Seattle
Houston

Awards:
To pick anyone other than Justin Verlander to win the Cy Young is almost crazy, so give me David Price, with Verlander second, and King Felix third.

Mike Trout will win the AL MVP.

I don't know any rookies in the American League, but give me a player from Minnesota.  They usually have some good young talent.

Manager of the Year usually goes to a team that wins its division, but I will pick Terry Francona because I think the Indians are going to be in the division race all the way to the end of the season.

NL East:
Atlanta
Washington
Philadelphia
New York
Miami

NL Central:
Cincinnati
St. Louis
Pittsburgh
Chicago
Milwaukee

NL West:
LA Dodgers
San Fransisco
Arizona
Colorado
San Diego

Awards:
Stephen Strausberg will win the NL Cy Young because everyone loves him.  Give me Matt Cain second and Cole Hammels third.

The NL MVP will be Jason Heyward. 

I truly believe that Julio Teheran will be the third or even second best starter for the Braves this season, so I think he will win the Rookie of the Year in the National League.

Fredi Gonzalez wins the Manager of the Year.

I know that people are going to think that these are some homer picks, and they are, but I think the Braves are in a fantastic position this year.  Everyone thinks they are going to be good, but everyone expects the Nationals to be better.

Last year, the Nationals played well throughout the season, made a playoff run, sat Strausberg, and everyone pretty much expected them to fold at some point because, lets face it, they are still the Expos.

Winning after being an afterthought for so long is one thing, being the favorite to win not only the division, but many say the World Series, is very different.  Year after year, the Braves were picked to win, and year after year in the 90's they won.  Expectations are going to be a new obstacle for this team to maneuver, and I just don't think everything is going to come as easy for the Nationals as most people do.

Atlanta meanwhile, can fly under the radar a little bit.  The Braves have an offense that is going to make the pitching staff look better than they are, and they are pretty good to start with.  There is balance in the starting rotation, 3 righties, 2 lefties, and the Braves pretty much have a front line starting pitcher that they will pick up in the middle of the summer when Brandon Beachy returns from injury.  Unless there is an injury in the starting rotation, I think Beachy will be the long man in the bullpen for the rest of this season and return to the starting rotation in 2014.

The Braves also have the best bullpen in baseball, with or without Johnny Venters.  Kimbrell is the best closer in the game, and the depth in the bullpen will shorten games for the Braves.  Kimbrell's save numbers may be down from last year, because I don't think the Braves are going to play so many close games this season.

There is one issue that I think might be a distraction for the Braves this season, and most people are going to think I'm crazy. 

Brian McCann is going to be a free agent at the end of the season, and I don't think there is any chance the Braves are going to resign him.  When the trade deadline comes around in July, the Braves might have a big decision on their hands.  McCann might be an attractive piece for an American League club as a DH and part time catcher.  If one of the Braves young catchers are having a good season, and if Gerald Laird is healthy, the Braves might trade McCann for a high level prospect (perhaps someone who can play third base, hm?). 

However, if McCann is having a great season at the plate, the Braves will let him play out the end of his contract and deal with the business side of things after the season.

Again, I love this team.  Other than Dan Uggla, who apparently has slimmed down (will being skinner help you figure out that you can hit the ball the other way once in a while?), I love every aspect of this team.  The defense in the outfield, at shortstop, and at first base.  The balanced power and speed of the lineup.  The young pitching complimented by two veteran starters.  I love hitting coaches and what they are going to be able to do with Justin Upton.  I love the fact that both Juan Fransisco and Chris Johnson seem to have embraced the idea of sharing time at third, and it looks like each guys is just going to try to produce so much that you have to put him in the lineup.  I love Kris Medlen and his Maddux like approach to pitching.

I love that every time a ball is hit to shallow left field this year Braves fans are going to scream "Infield Fly" at the top of their lungs.  I love that Opening Night is going to be a standing room only crowd at Turner Field.  I love Frank Wren for making moves to put a team on the field that is both young and capable of winning right now.  I love that everyone is picking the Nationals. 

I am more excited about this season that I have been about any Braves season since the mid '90's.  You never know what could happen in the playoffs, so there is no reason to try and predict a World Series Champion, but if you told me that the Braves would win the World Series this year, I wouldn't be shocked at all. 

This is going to be a great season in Atlanta and across Major League Baseball. 

GO BRAVES!

Tuesday, February 19, 2013

Spring 2013: The Rebirth of the Atlanta Braves

Spring is a time of rebirth.  There is a sense of renewal, and there is a fresh outlook for what lies ahead.  Seemingly, the world is reborn with the warm rays of sun that begin to melt away the cold left by winter.

Rarely in the modern history of the Atlanta Braves has there been this much excitement about Spring Training.  For so long, Braves fans have known what to expect.  And for so long those expectations were met so often, that there was a sense of boredom that surrounded the franchise.

In the late 90's it seemed that the season didn't even start until October, when the sentiment of the fan base seemed to be "I'll get excited when you win the World Series, because anything less is utter failure."  Sustained excellence seemed to cast a certain malaise over the season.  Bobby Cox was a manager who believed in steadiness over 162 game season was the best way to be successful, and so the Braves went about their business in a way that at times seemed dispassionate.  Although we revere names like Maddux, Glavine, Smoltz, and Cox, reverence doesn't produce excitement.

Excitement is exactly the word that surrounds the Braves heading into the 2013 season.

There were moments that had a similar feeling in the mid-2000's  when the Baby Braves, Francour, McCann, Johnson, and Langerhans brought a fresh face to the franchise.  They were new faces that had yet to produce at the level that would demand great expectations, so what we were left with was a great sense of joy in their success.

There was no doubt that the franchise was at a crossroads following the 2012 season.  After what can only be described as a heartbreaking and anger-inducing loss to the Cardinals (the team that had ended the Braves season in 2011 as well), Chipper Jones was set to retire.  Jones' career was played out over the exact span of time where the franchise went from perennial cellar-dweller to perennial champions.  Drafted in 1990 with the first overall pick, Jones would find his way to the big leagues during the end of the 1993 season, in the midst of the last great pennant race in baseball history.  Jones watched as the Braves overcame the Giants in the last weekend of the season, overcoming a 10 game deficit at the All-Star Break.

After an injury in 1994 (appropriate seeing as how the 1994 season will forever be seen as a black eye for Major League Baseball), Jones was a rookie in 1995 as the Braves won their allusive World Series.  Jones was one of the best players in baseball from 1996 on, and his team would continue to be one of the best teams in baseball over that time period.

It is often forgotten that Jones moved to the outfield for two years in the early 2000's in hopes of making the team better.  Jones had been the MVP in 1999 and it would have been easy for him to refuse to switch positions during the apex of his career, but Jones moved to left field while Vinny Castilla played third, and that was the beginning of Chipper as the leader of the franchise.  Jones roll changed over the last 10 years of his career.  From All-Star, to mentor to the Baby Braves, to Batting Champion, to wise old man, and back to All-Star in his final season.

There is no overstating the symbolism of Jones retirement.  He was the last Brave from the 1995 World Series team, now that era is over.

Frank Wren had two choices this off-season.  He could shrink away from the challenge of rebuilding the franchise, or he could embrace it.  He could have kept the same team that had been in place for the past few seasons, tried to find someone to play left-field or third base, and just ride out this team as long as he could.  I mean, they have made the playoffs two of the last three years, and the only time they missed the playoffs (2011) it took an historic collapse to come up short.

But Frank Wren took what could only be described as the complete opposite approach.  In an off-season that has been unlike any other for the franchise since 1990, Wren has completely overhauled the team and built a new machine that can win now, and win in the future.

The bold move towards the future started with the outright release of Jair Jurrjens and then the trade of Tommy Hanson.  For the past few years, it was thought that these two pitchers were going to be the foundation for the rotation for years to come.  However, each pitcher has struggled over the past two seasons.  Wren was tired of waiting, and he knew that he had some young arms that needed a chance to get in the rotation, so he got rid of them.  The biggest part of these moves will be the relief pitcher that the Braves got from the Angles in return for Hanson.  Jordan Walden will be a critical addition to what was already one of the best bullpens in baseball.

Next he went out and made the biggest free agent signing in the history of the franchise.  The BJ Upton signing was met with a mixed review from Braves fans because everyone had loved Michael Bourn so much.  But Bourn was wanting way too much money.  Upton is younger than Bourn and coming off a season where he hit 28 home runs   Bourn overplayed his hand so much that Upton actually got more money (5 years and 75 million) than Bourn got with the Indians (4 years 48 million).

The final bold move came in early January when Wren traded for Justin Upton.  Sending Martin Prado to Arizona, in the deal along with Randall Delgado and a couple of other players, the Braves acquired the former number one pick in the MLB Draft at the age of 25.  Playing along side his brother and with three years left on his contract, the Braves are primed to get the very best out of Justin Upton.  How many times can you remember a team getting an MVP caliber player in the early stages of his career with so much time left on his contract?  I'm sure it has happened before, but I can't think of it.

So now we arrive at spring, and as the flowers begin to bloom, so do the hopes of Braves country.  In a season that was going to be unlike anything the Braves have experienced in 17 years (with the absence of Chipper), Frank Wren has managed to rejuvenate the franchise in a remarkable way.

The 2013 Braves will offer a daunting lineup that will have legitimate power from the number two spot to the number 7 spot.  These Braves are going to produce more runs with their legs than any Braves team has since the days of Otis Nixon.  These Braves are going to strikeout a lot, but they are going to hit a lot too.  This Braves team is going to feature what will be, in my estimation, the best bullpen in baseball.  The question surrounding these Braves is going to be whether or not the young starting pitching staff is going to be good enough to help the Braves win the division.  The acquisition of Paul Maholm last season will be critical to provide a veteran presence, along with Tim Hudson.  Kris Medlen will be a starter for the entire season, Mike Minor is in the rotation, and Brandon Beachy will be back before July.  The starters are young, but they are talented.  Before Beachy returns, Julio Teheran will have his chance to be a regular starter in the rotation, and if he struggles the Braves have a couple of other young guys just waiting to get their shot.  A potent offense and the most athletic outfield in the majors will help the young pitching staff.

There is nothing guaranteed with this team.  If the pitching staff holds up, they can win the division and make a run in the playoffs.  If none of the Braves' hitters can find the clutch gene that Chipper Jones had, then they won't be able to score enough to win.

Either way, as spring training games begin in Florida and Arizona this week I can honestly say that I have not been this excited about a season in a very long time.  As a fan, you have to admire the work that the front office has done to put a team on the field that has the ability to win.  Fans need to support this team.  Buy tickets in April, May, and June and when the trade deadline comes around in July, if this team needs something to win, you know Frank Wren will go out and get it.  If there is one thing that this off-season has shown me, is that the Braves are committed to winning now and in the future, and as a fan, that is all you can ask for.